Postby DuckyDan » Fri Jul 25, 2003 8:52 am
I agree with ya! It sounds cool on paper and all of that, but I'm afraid that every Tom, Dick, and Harry will be out there blowing the hell out of everything that flies trying to get some cash.
I can see how it would mess up their numbers. Not everyone reports thr bands that they kill. A lot of people just put them on their lanyard and that's that. The people doing the research know this and I'm sure have taken that into account on their calculations. There are all kinds of surveys that they send out every year asking you everything about your hunt except for if you took toilet paper. I'm sure they've taken surveys on whether or not people call in bands. For example, let's say statistics show that only 60% of bands killed are reported. If you factor in a megabuck duck flying around out there, band reports will probably jump all the way up to the 95% range. The USFWS has no way of knowing what "new" percentage of bands will be reported, so their standard deviation will be inaccurate. They're used to adding the numbers as (example) only 60% of bands are turned in and only 15% of the ducks are banded (examples). They use that data to estimate how many ducks are killed each year. This method has been fine tuned over the years and I'm sure is more accurate now than it was 10 years ago. If you throw the megabuck duck out there and band reports jump to 75%- 100%, there's no way of knowing how to compensate. More bands will be reported, therefore making it seem like there were more ducks killed than really were, which means we might not have as liberal a season or limit next year. Translation: this thing could come back and bite us in the booty.
SB>>>do you know any stats or percentages on that stuff?
Sometimes the best call is no call at all...