Mississippi River Commission President's Flood and High Water Update
Sunday, 1 May 2011, 11 p.m.
MG Michael J. Walsh, MRC President - Update --OPERATION WATERSHED--
MRC Members R.D. James, Sam Angel and I spent the day in and around the confluence area of the watershed.
At 1536 hrs today, I completed a decision brief from Col. Reichling regarding operation of the floodway. Taking into account all the hydraulic and engineering information available the District Commander recommends we move from Hour minus 24 to Hour minus 3. That means break down the barges and move to the levee and load the pipes with slurry mix. I approved his recommendation. It will take a few hours to position the tow and 18 hours to load the pipes.
The next decision point will be to Arm and operate the floodway. That DECISION HAS NOT BEEN MADE.
Condition Update:
- The Cairo stage at 1300 was 59.86 feet, exceeding the original flood
of record of 59.5 feet from 1937.
- As of 1500, the pools at Kentucky and Barkley were 370.96 and 370.20
feet respectively, which are pools of record.
- 2-5" of rain is forecast for the lower Ohio, Tennessee and Cumberland
Valleys through Wednesday. Rainfall amounts over the last day were 1 to 1.5 inches in southern Illinois and western Kentucky.
- Rough River is at 524 feet as of 1400. The spillway is at 524 feet.
The pool is slowly falling 0.02 ft per hour.
- Historic flood levels exceeding the 1937 flood are occurring at many
locations along the lower Ohio River and middle Mississippi River.
- Releases will be increased at Kentucky and Barkley in response to the
current rainfall. The remaining storage in the pools is expected to be utilized in timing with the Cairo crest. The pool is predicted to crest at
373.9 on 4 May.
Afternoon Water Management Update - 1 May 2011 Situational Review and
Outlook:
Over the past 24 hours, rain and thunderstorms began in the Lower Ohio Valley and middle/lower Mississippi Valley. Rainfall totals were 1 to 1.5 inches in southern Illinois, western Kentucky and Tennessee through 0800 hours.
Rain and thunderstorms impact the lower Ohio Valley through Tuesday.
Additional rainfall totals of 2-5 inches are possible with this event, with highest totals in the lower Ohio Valley and the western Tennessee and Cumberland Valley. Heavier rainfall with this system (5-7 inches) is forecast for the lower Mississippi Valley in Arkansas.
Widespread flood warnings and flash flood warnings remain in effect for Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Illinois, and southeastern Missouri due to the consistent heavy rainfall now and over the past several weeks.
Major flooding is occurring along the Ohio River below J.T. Myers Lock and Dam, with major to record flooding forecast or occurring between Smithland Lock and Dam and Cairo, IL. Moderate to Major flood levels are occurring along the Tippecanoe, White, Wabash and Patoka Rivers in Indiana and the Green and Rough River in Kentucky. Minor to moderate flooding is occurring in the Tennessee River of Alabama, Tennessee and Kentucky and along the Ohio River below Cincinnati, OH. Minor flooding is occurring in the Kentucky, Salt, Barren and Rolling Fork River basins of Kentucky and the Scioto and Maumee basin in Ohio.
Ohio River Conditions:
Water levels are above flood stage from downstream of Markland Lock and Dam through Cairo, IL. Flows today along the mainstem Ohio River are rising at most points downstream of the crest near Evansville, IN and range from 79 kcfs (137 percent of normal) at Pittsburgh, PA to 1032 kcfs (222 percent of
normal) at Cairo, IL.
Due to increased flows on both the upper Mississippi and lower Ohio Rivers from the recent rainfall, the National Weather Service is forecasting a record crest at Cairo of 61.5 feet on 4 May considering rainfall through Monday morning.
There are predictions and contingency forecasts that are higher and longer - as much as 9 days above 60 ft at Cairo.
We continue to work together with the great people from this critical region to help with these historic challenges.
For daily river stages:
www.rivergages.com
Historic and current Stages: See attached file for stages as of early morning 1 May.
Info Paper on Controlling the Project Flood MR&T
http://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc/mrt/D ... 0paper.pdf
Info Paper on BP-NM Floodway:
http://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc/mrt/D ... rid%20info%
20paper%20FINAL%200426.pdf
Contacts for updates:
St Louis District: Ms. Julie Ziino
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
314-331-8016
618-406-5152 - cell
Memphis District: Ms. Linda Ross
US Army Corps of Engineers
Memphis, TN 38103-1894
901-544-3225 (ofc phone)
901-409-4587 (cell phone)
T. Stephen Gambrell
Executive Director, Mississippi River Commission Mississippi Valley Division PO Box 80, Vicksburg, MS 39181
601.634-5766
timothy.gambrell@usace.army.mil
www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc
Cell 601 529-4107
Mr. Jim Pogue --Public Affairs
Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway
Joint Information Center
Sikeston, MO
main number - 877-219-0478.