For 2011 Flood Info

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DanP
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For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Fri Apr 29, 2011 5:37 pm

Go to www.deltacouncil.org and click on Water Update. We will be updating this as often as we recieve new information. All info reported is directly from the National Weather Service, Corp of Engineers, or one of the levee boards.

Check out this graph, this water is going to be around a while...

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southdeltan
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby southdeltan » Fri Apr 29, 2011 5:49 pm

Clicking here will save you one click, instead of having to go to the page, it's the direct link:
http://www.deltacouncil.org/index.php?o ... icle&id=34
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Blackduck
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby Blackduck » Fri Apr 29, 2011 6:22 pm

Steele bayou closed till mid June. Wow.
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swamprooter
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby swamprooter » Fri Apr 29, 2011 6:51 pm

I like this site better than Corp site because I'm 2 feet to the good off of Helena gauge and that is difference than wet or dry
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DanP
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Fri Apr 29, 2011 7:00 pm

swamprooter wrote:I like this site better than Corp site because I'm 2 feet to the good off of Helena gauge and that is difference than wet or dry
Too bad its wrong :oops:

I proofed that thing a dozen times and didnt see that. Thanks, its fixed now.
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby swamprooter » Fri Apr 29, 2011 8:05 pm

Thanks a ton Dan, I'm wet now.......party pooper
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stang67
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby stang67 » Fri Apr 29, 2011 9:44 pm

Blackduck wrote:Steele bayou closed till mid June. Wow.
x2. Incredible.
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Fri Apr 29, 2011 9:54 pm

April 29 Update from the MS Levee Board

MS RIVER FORECAST – No changes

The NWS still has NO changes in the Mississippi River Forecast.

Arkansas City 48.5’ crest on May 14th

Greenville 60.0’ crest on May 15th

Vicksburg 53.5’ crest on May 18th

This forecast will exceed the 1973 highwater levels by almost 2’.

This forecast will put us within 1’ of the 100-year flood on the MS River.

The 100-year flood on the MS River is 61’ at Greenville and 54’ at Vicksburg.

We are expected to remain near the crest stage for 10 days before finally falling.



YBW AREA FORECAST

The forecast for the Yazoo Backwater Area has been moved up. With the rainfall on the ground the landside will reach 91.0’ at Steele Bayou Structure. With normal rainfall this number is predicted to go up to 93.5’ to 94’ before the gates open again. This will flood 375,000 acres including 175,000 acres of farmland.



BUCK CHUTE

The Corps of Engineers is busying building an earthen water berm around the Buck Chute sand boils. They are hauling in 20,000 c.y. of sand to fill the site. Today at 10am the Warren County Sheriff Martin Pace hosted a public meeting at Eagle Lake. Approximately 300 residents attended this meeting and the Corps of Engineers explained what was happening at Buck Chute and their plans to raise Eagle Lake water levels up 9’ to 12’. This increased water will not flood any homes but may damage docks and piers. The Levee Board explained that Hwy 465 will be going underwater this week-end and that residents only will be permitted to ride the YBW Levee to get to Eagle Lake. We will lock down the YBW Levee once we reach 53’ at the Vicksburg Gage. Residents will still be able to access Eagle Lake by driving up to Low-Water Bridge Road or Hwy 1. It was a great meeting and a lot of questions were answered and a lot of fear was subdued.



GREENVILLE CITYFRONT

The lowest points on the Mainline Mississippi River Levee are the notches for Central Street and Main Street right here in Greenville, MS. The Levee Board had sand delivered and stockpiled at Central Street today in case we need to fill in these notches. The Levee Board appreciates the Corps of Engineers loaning us Hesco barrier structures that we can use to close off the notches. By the way, these notches were the original top of the levee back in 1927. After the 1927 flood the levee was enlarged ~10’.



LEVEE INSPECTIONS

Levee inspections will begin on Monday, May 2, 2011.



Everything is going well and the levee looks great!



We will keep you posted.



Peter Nimrod

Chief Engineer

MS Levee Board
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby Deltamud77 » Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:31 pm

Admin, anyway we can get this stickied to the top?
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:44 pm

30 April Water Control Summary - USACE Vicksburg District

Water Control Summary
30 April 2011

MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN
The crest stages for the Mississippi River for the Vicksburg District reach of the river have remained the same since Monday, April 25, 2011. Arkansas City and Greenville have reached Phase I levels. Vicksburg and Natchez went above flood stage today. The current stages and crest predictions are as follows:
Bank
Station Stage Chg Crest Date Full Phase I Phase II

Ark. City 39.6 +1.1 48.5 5/14 37 38 44

Greenville 50.9 +1.3 60.0 5/15 48 49 55

Vicksburg 43.2 +0.8 53.5 5/18 43 44 49

Natchez 48.5 +0.7 60.0 5/20 48 49 53



YAZOO RIVER BASIN

The upper part of the Yazoo Basin received a significant rainfall event between 24-28 April. The Coldwater River basin received the brunt of the precipitation. Arkabutla Dam measured 15.16 inches of rain during the period and 12-15 inches fell over the entire watershed. As a result the Arkabutla pool is expected to rise to within less than 1 foot of the spillway. The Coldwater River at Sarah, Birdie, and Darling all set new record stages and Birdie is still rising.


Station Stage Chg Crest Date

Sarah 19.8 -2.2 Crested

Marks 40.2 +0.8 40.5 5/1

Lambert 31.3 +0.5 32.0 5/2

Locopolis 31.7 -0.5 Crested

Swan Lake 23.2 +0.7 24.5 5/2

Greenwood 24.2 -0.4 25.0 5/3



YAZOO BASIN RESERVOIRS


Runoff
Station Stage Chg % Full Available Crest Date

Arkabutla 236.5 +1.0 88.7% 1.1” 237.5 5/2

Sardis 264.1 +1.9 44.2% 9.9” 267.0 5/3

Enid 251.3 +0.3 38.8% 12.4” 252.0 5/1

Grenada 214.2 +0.3 34.8% 11.6” 215.0 5/2



YAZOO BACKWATER AREA

The gates at Muddy Bayou Control Structure were opened this morning at 0700 hrs to start filling Eagle Lake. The sump crest listed below is with water on the ground. With normal rainfall, the sump is expected to crest between 93.5 and 94.0 on 10 June.



Station Stage Chg Crest Date

Steele Bayou
L.S. 88.6 +0.2 91.0 5/8
R.S. 91.1 +1.0 103.0 5/18

Muddy Bayou
L.S. 78.4 +0.6 90.0 5/10
R.S. 88.5 +0.2 91.0 5/8








OUACHITA RIVER BASIN




Runoff
Station Stage Chg % Full Available Crest Date

Blakely 579.3 +0.1 8.5% 9.6” Crested

Degray 408.0 +0.2 0.0% 9.4” Crested

Narrows 553.2 -0.2 31.1% 7.0” Near Crest



Station Stage Chg Crest Date

Camden 33.4 +1.0 33.5 4/30

Monroe 24.6 +0.1 35.0 5/14

Acme 33.8 +0.3 48.0 5/23


The National Weather Service is predicting ¾ to 3 inches of rain for the Upper Yazoo Basin and about 5 to 7 inches over the Ouachita River Basin over the next 72 hours.

The Water Control Management Section is monitoring the situation closely and will issue updated forecasts as conditions warrant.




Robert C. Simrall
Water Control Management Section
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby novacaine » Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:45 pm

New inundation maps are suppose to be out in a few days. Hopefully by tuesday.
Every flood event is different and this one is acting freaky especially from Tunica to Tallahatchie.
Hydraulics gurus were running around up north cipherin and looking.
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Sun May 01, 2011 9:13 pm

Cairo bumped up to 61.5. KABOOM is set for 61...

Our crests will probably jump a foot in the next day or so. Stay tuned 8)
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby Wingman » Sun May 01, 2011 10:26 pm

Saw them working at buck chute today. Water coming out of the "seep" pipes up by goose lake.
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby DanP » Mon May 02, 2011 6:16 am

Mississippi River Commission President's Flood and High Water Update

Sunday, 1 May 2011, 11 p.m.
MG Michael J. Walsh, MRC President - Update --OPERATION WATERSHED--

MRC Members R.D. James, Sam Angel and I spent the day in and around the confluence area of the watershed.

At 1536 hrs today, I completed a decision brief from Col. Reichling regarding operation of the floodway. Taking into account all the hydraulic and engineering information available the District Commander recommends we move from Hour minus 24 to Hour minus 3. That means break down the barges and move to the levee and load the pipes with slurry mix. I approved his recommendation. It will take a few hours to position the tow and 18 hours to load the pipes.

The next decision point will be to Arm and operate the floodway. That DECISION HAS NOT BEEN MADE.

Condition Update:
- The Cairo stage at 1300 was 59.86 feet, exceeding the original flood
of record of 59.5 feet from 1937.
- As of 1500, the pools at Kentucky and Barkley were 370.96 and 370.20
feet respectively, which are pools of record.
- 2-5" of rain is forecast for the lower Ohio, Tennessee and Cumberland
Valleys through Wednesday. Rainfall amounts over the last day were 1 to 1.5 inches in southern Illinois and western Kentucky.
- Rough River is at 524 feet as of 1400. The spillway is at 524 feet.
The pool is slowly falling 0.02 ft per hour.
- Historic flood levels exceeding the 1937 flood are occurring at many
locations along the lower Ohio River and middle Mississippi River.
- Releases will be increased at Kentucky and Barkley in response to the
current rainfall. The remaining storage in the pools is expected to be utilized in timing with the Cairo crest. The pool is predicted to crest at
373.9 on 4 May.

Afternoon Water Management Update - 1 May 2011 Situational Review and
Outlook:
Over the past 24 hours, rain and thunderstorms began in the Lower Ohio Valley and middle/lower Mississippi Valley. Rainfall totals were 1 to 1.5 inches in southern Illinois, western Kentucky and Tennessee through 0800 hours.

Rain and thunderstorms impact the lower Ohio Valley through Tuesday.
Additional rainfall totals of 2-5 inches are possible with this event, with highest totals in the lower Ohio Valley and the western Tennessee and Cumberland Valley. Heavier rainfall with this system (5-7 inches) is forecast for the lower Mississippi Valley in Arkansas.

Widespread flood warnings and flash flood warnings remain in effect for Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Illinois, and southeastern Missouri due to the consistent heavy rainfall now and over the past several weeks.

Major flooding is occurring along the Ohio River below J.T. Myers Lock and Dam, with major to record flooding forecast or occurring between Smithland Lock and Dam and Cairo, IL. Moderate to Major flood levels are occurring along the Tippecanoe, White, Wabash and Patoka Rivers in Indiana and the Green and Rough River in Kentucky. Minor to moderate flooding is occurring in the Tennessee River of Alabama, Tennessee and Kentucky and along the Ohio River below Cincinnati, OH. Minor flooding is occurring in the Kentucky, Salt, Barren and Rolling Fork River basins of Kentucky and the Scioto and Maumee basin in Ohio.

Ohio River Conditions:
Water levels are above flood stage from downstream of Markland Lock and Dam through Cairo, IL. Flows today along the mainstem Ohio River are rising at most points downstream of the crest near Evansville, IN and range from 79 kcfs (137 percent of normal) at Pittsburgh, PA to 1032 kcfs (222 percent of
normal) at Cairo, IL.

Due to increased flows on both the upper Mississippi and lower Ohio Rivers from the recent rainfall, the National Weather Service is forecasting a record crest at Cairo of 61.5 feet on 4 May considering rainfall through Monday morning.

There are predictions and contingency forecasts that are higher and longer - as much as 9 days above 60 ft at Cairo.

We continue to work together with the great people from this critical region to help with these historic challenges.

For daily river stages:
www.rivergages.com

Historic and current Stages: See attached file for stages as of early morning 1 May.

Info Paper on Controlling the Project Flood MR&T http://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc/mrt/D ... 0paper.pdf

Info Paper on BP-NM Floodway:
http://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc/mrt/D ... rid%20info%
20paper%20FINAL%200426.pdf

Contacts for updates:
St Louis District: Ms. Julie Ziino
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
314-331-8016
618-406-5152 - cell

Memphis District: Ms. Linda Ross
US Army Corps of Engineers
Memphis, TN 38103-1894
901-544-3225 (ofc phone)
901-409-4587 (cell phone)

T. Stephen Gambrell
Executive Director, Mississippi River Commission Mississippi Valley Division PO Box 80, Vicksburg, MS 39181
601.634-5766
timothy.gambrell@usace.army.mil
www.mvd.usace.army.mil/mrc
Cell 601 529-4107

Mr. Jim Pogue --Public Affairs
Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway
Joint Information Center
Sikeston, MO

main number - 877-219-0478.
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Blackduck
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Re: For 2011 Flood Info

Postby Blackduck » Mon May 02, 2011 6:55 am

Those pipes are the ones to blow Birds Point? Where exactally does that run back into the river?
No, i don't want to know you ---- teul

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