River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

[southdeltan]

Great work guys. Any chance y'all could do Anguilla? 109 preferred, lol.

I'd rather be prepared for worst case.

[Jelly]

Dan, i just heard 65.5 in greenville now. You heard that?

[Blake Williamson]

I feel for you guys over there I pray for the best for yall!

[stang67]

Ok just got off phone with the Corp...

Yazoo Backwater Levees are at 107. The MS River will crest at 57.5' = 103.73'. Yazoo River headwater will drive it up to 107'.

There will be some spill over into the Yazoo Backwater Area - BUT - the Corp is still projecting 95' @ Steele Bayou landside. I'm pulling the 109 flood maps and going to start putting up some lower number stuff. It think the 109 is assuming catastrophic levee failure, which the Corp does not believe will happen.

So does that mean that yesterday's news (below) was premature?

YBW AREA FORECAST
At this forecast the Yazoo Backwater Levee will OVERTOP by 1.3’! The Yazoo Backwater Area could be entirely flooded. The Corps is working on an inundation map so we can see exactly what will be flooded. Hopefully I will get a copy of that map tomorrow. This could flood up to elevation 109’. If you are located on property at or below 109’ you might get flooded.

[DanP]

Dan, i just heard 65.5 in greenville now. You heard that?

Nope. They are in a meeting right now will get an update after lunch.

[DanP]

Not premature, just worst case scenario. Hope and pray the Backwater Levees hold..

Ok just got off phone with the Corp...

Yazoo Backwater Levees are at 107. The MS River will crest at 57.5' = 103.73'. Yazoo River headwater will drive it up to 107'.

There will be some spill over into the Yazoo Backwater Area - BUT - the Corp is still projecting 95' @ Steele Bayou landside. I'm pulling the 109 flood maps and going to start putting up some lower number stuff. It think the 109 is assuming catastrophic levee failure, which the Corp does not believe will happen.

So does that mean that yesterday's news (below) was premature?

YBW AREA FORECAST
At this forecast the Yazoo Backwater Levee will OVERTOP by 1.3’! The Yazoo Backwater Area could be entirely flooded. The Corps is working on an inundation map so we can see exactly what will be flooded. Hopefully I will get a copy of that map tomorrow. This could flood up to elevation 109’. If you are located on property at or below 109’ you might get flooded.

[Deltaquack]

TODO, here's what was between your cabin and mine yesterday afternoon.

[camlock]

TODO, here's what was between your cabin and mine yesterday afternoon.

CHOOT EM'!!!

sorry..i had to

[DeltaCotton12]

TODO, here's what was between your cabin and mine yesterday afternoon.

CHOOT EM CHOOT EM!!!

[Buckwabit]

That a tree shaka!!!!

[DeltaCotton12]

TODO, here's what was between your cabin and mine yesterday afternoon.

CHOOT EM'!!!

sorry..i had to

You be me to it. When i see a gator, the first thought that comes to my mind is CHOOT EM CHOOT EM

[camlock]

I just seen were city of Vidalia, LA in a town hall meeting just now is considering mandatory evacuation with the new crest information...

That's across the creek from Natchez, in case you aren't familiar with the area....

[mille011]

UPDATE - May 3, 2011
>
> The overtopping of the Yazoo Backwater (YBW) Levee might only last for
> a week - if the River doesn't go any higher and the duration doesn't
> last longer and the levee doesn't breach - it will inundate the YBW
> Area up to 95' with normal rainfall.
>
> If the River goes up higher and the duration last longer this number
> could go up to as high as 107'. If the levee breaches it could go up to 107'.
>
> The YBW Levee is predicted to be overtopped around May 15th.
>
> Sorry to scare everyone with my incorrect 109' elevation yesterday.
>
>
>
> Levee will be CLOSED to everyone starting at Saturday night at Midnight.
> No
> exceptions! Only Levee Board, Corps of Engineers, Highwater
> Inspectors, Game Wardens & Law Enforcement Officers will be allowed on
> top. Anyone else will be arrested.
>
>
>
> YESTERDAY'S REPORT
>
> MS RIVER FORECAST
>
> The NWS has significantly raised the Mississippi River Forecast.
>
> Arkansas City 53.5' crest on May 14th
>
> Greenville 64.5' crest on May 15th
>
> Vicksburg 57.5' crest on May 18th
>
> This forecast will exceed the 1973 highwater levels by 6'.
>
> This forecast will put us 3.5' above the 100-year flood on the MS River.
>
> The 100-year flood on the MS River is 61' at Greenville and 54' at
> Vicksburg.
>
>
>
> YBW AREA FORECAST
>
> At this forecast the Yazoo Backwater Levee will overtop by 1.3'. The
> Corps is working on an inundation map so we can see exactly what will
> be flooded.
> Hopefully I will get a copy of that map tomorrow. This overtopping
> could - at best - only reach 95' in the Yazoo Backwater Area. But it
> could reach up to elevation 107'
>
>
>
> At this point - Greenville and above will not be flooded.
>
>
>
> Public Meeting - Rolling Fork - Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 10am at the
> National Guard Armory on Hwy 61.
>
>

[Blackduck]

I heard 67.5 in Natchez. Completely out of control.

[Deltamud77]

I heard 67.5 in Natchez. Completely out of control.

I think that is like 7 feet higher than the Vidalia side levee...wow.