River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

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lower14
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby lower14 » Sun May 08, 2011 9:03 pm

[quote="Wingman"]Can we panic yet?[/quote]

I know you can't comment, but if we can get a few thousand Canadians to go the way of Katrina and move to Houston/Dallas/Mobile/B'ham/Atlanta, then yes, we can and should panic. Don't know if it would do any long-term good, but it would be a hell of a start.
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby Faithful Retrievers » Sun May 08, 2011 10:19 pm

All the rumors we have had the last two weeks has had folks all crazy. Every time I was in another town I would get all kind of wild crap about what was going on back in my town. Luckily crest was 1.5' short and we seemed to have turned the corner. Hoping for the best down stream fellas, its a heck of deal to have to wait and see what could happen. Brings everything into perspective on how much we really don't control.
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Bercy
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby Bercy » Mon May 09, 2011 11:18 am

Had no idea the pressure/flow of the water would be this great. This is a picture of the water flowing across the Satartia/Holly Bluff road (facing east) this weekend: Image
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby Double R 2 » Mon May 09, 2011 11:22 am

If the levee breaks, was told water will come through the levee at a rate of 7 acre-feet per second.
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby deltadukman » Mon May 09, 2011 11:22 am

Holy CHEET :o ....thats alot of water. Where abouts on HB-Satartia road. I was up there tuesday(last) pulling stuff and said it would probably start coming over thursday or friday.
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby Jelly » Mon May 09, 2011 11:31 am

yeah, where was that pic taken?
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lowbar
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby lowbar » Mon May 09, 2011 11:32 am

Bercy wrote:Had no idea the pressure/flow of the water would be this great. This is a picture of the water flowing across the Satartia/Holly Bluff road (facing east) this weekend:

I drove through there Saturday around 2:00pm. It wasn't over nearly that much. That is the curve right after Lake George Rd at Clear Lake Rd. Doc Caston's old place if anyone knows him. It was coming almost up to the doors on my Jeep Wrangler. Some guys that were bowfishing there said it had taken probably 20 to 30 more yards of road in the 2-3 hours they had been there. Needless to say I didn't go back home that way but did loop back on #3 and drove down to look at it from the other side. It was steadily taking more road.
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lowbar
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby lowbar » Mon May 09, 2011 12:05 pm

It's this stretch of road and on around the curve heading east.

http://maps.google.com/maps?q=32.687137 ... 27509&z=15
Last edited by lowbar on Mon May 09, 2011 12:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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marshman
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby marshman » Mon May 09, 2011 12:18 pm

Todays river stages are out. Shows Greenville with a slightly lower crest of 64.3 and Natchez with 61.3
Bercy
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby Bercy » Mon May 09, 2011 12:25 pm

Few more from about the same place - facing west (these are all I have found).

I did not take them, but found them on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/home.php?#!/pag ... 5291651095

Image

Image
BUCKWHEAT
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby BUCKWHEAT » Mon May 09, 2011 12:37 pm

There are sand boils in the levee at my place which is neer the Tunica River park. It has already flooded about 70 acres crop land on the protected side of the levee. Levee board is workin now on putting an estimate 1600 truck loads of earth to shore up the leaks. I have pictures, but don't know how to post. I'd be happy to e-mail to someone if there is any interest.
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby tombstone » Mon May 09, 2011 1:49 pm

dukluk wrote:Just saw an MDOT truck headed west on Hwy. 82 near Leland, doing about 85 mph with all lights flashing....never saw any MDOT folks get in a big hurry like that....what's up with that???
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redspeckable
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby redspeckable » Mon May 09, 2011 2:17 pm

marshman wrote:Todays river stages are out. Shows Greenville with a slightly lower crest of 64.3 and Natchez with 61.3

Where are you seeing this???? Please let me know. That's GREAT news if true!
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby PWS » Mon May 09, 2011 2:25 pm

I just looked at the COE report. i think he looked in the 14 May colum and did not go one colum to the right Natchez is still set to crest at 64 on 21 May 11
Last edited by PWS on Mon May 09, 2011 2:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: River is fixing to get serious, boys!!!

Postby camlock » Mon May 09, 2011 2:27 pm

RIVER FORECAST...LOWER OHIO/MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SLIDELL LA
1254PM CDT Mon May 9 2011

PROJ FLOW TDA D1 D2 D3 D4 D5
BARKLEY DAM 90 90 90 90 90 90
KENTUCKY DAM 174 175 175 175 175 175

ADVISORY D1 D2
PADUCAH 2.0 2.1
CAIRO 0.6 1.1

RIVER STAGE FORECASTS (A)BV
STATION FS 7AM 24HR ....F O R E C A S T..... (B)LO
STG CHG 0510 0511 0512 0513 0514 CREST/DATE FS
OHIO RIVER
SMITHLAND TW 40 53.9 -0.3 53.4 52.8 52.1 51.0 49.7
PADUCAH 39 54.3 -0.3 53.8 53.2 52.5 51.3 50.0
BROOKPORT 37 56.3 -0.2 55.8 55.2 54.5 53.3 52.0
GRAND CHAIN 42 60.4 -0.2 59.7 59.1 58.4 57.4 56.2
CAIRO 40 58.3 -0.4 57.8 57.2 56.5 55.6 54.7

MISSISSIPPI RIVER
CAPE GIRARDEAU 32 39.2 -0.9 38.6 38.0 37.4 36.9 36.3
THEBES 33 39.1 -0.6 38.3 37.5 36.9 36.4 35.9
NEW MADRID 34 47.5 -0.4 47.1 46.6 46.0 45.2 44.3
TIPTONVILLE 37 47.5 -0.4 47.1 46.6 46.0 45.3 44.5
CARUTHERSVILLE 32 47.2 -0.2 46.8 46.4 45.9 45.3 44.5
OSCEOLA 28 47.4 -0.1 47.3 47.1 46.8 46.2 45.5 CRESTED
MEMPHIS 34 47.8 +0.4 48.0 47.9 47.7 47.7 46.9 48.0 5/10A
HELENA 44 55.8 +0.6 56.3 56.4 56.5 56.4 56.2 56.5 5/12A
ARKANSAS CITY 37 50.1 +1.2 50.8 51.6 52.3 52.9 53.2 53.5 5/15A
GREENVILLE 48 61.2 +1.0 62.1 62.9 63.5 64.1 64.3 64.5 5/16A
VICKSBURG 43 51.8 +0.9 52.8 53.9 54.8 55.6 56.3 57.5 5/19A
NATCHEZ 48 56.3 +0.9 57.3 58.4 59.6 60.5 61.3 64.0 5/21A
RED RIVER LNDG 48 58.1 +1.0 59.2 60.1 61.1 62.1 62.9 65.5 5/22A
BATON ROUGE 35 40.6 +1.2 41.6 42.4 43.3 44.1 44.7 47.5 5/22P
DONALDSONVILLE 27 29.9 +1.1 30.5 31.2 31.8 32.7 33.5 36.0 5/22P
RESERVE 22 23.1 +0.9 23.7 24.0 24.0 24.5 25.3 28.0 5/23A
NEW ORLEANS /17/ 16.5 +0.6 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.4 18.1 19.5 5/23A A.5/10A

/ /LEVEES PROTECT CITY OF NEW ORLEANS TO 20 FT STAGE.

ALL STAGE FORECASTS INCLUDE 24 HOURS OF FUTURE RAINFALL.
END LMRFC

FORECAST ASSUME OPERATION OF BONNET CARRE, BUT NOT MORGANZA

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