I DO have faith.......ducks will migrate. The question is...how many, how far, and by when.
First freeze around October 10th?..........that's 2-3 weeks late already. It takes several of these cool-down periods to shake things up. Two years ago, the birds didn't really show-up in mid-latitude SK until November 18th. That's the latest the local farmers have experienced in recent years. Last year, the birds were heading further South by the time we left the same area on November 12 due to snow covering their food source. Big difference from year-to-year in when they get there - what happens during the time they are there to make'em head-on, and when they actually leave.
But the forecast is looking better for next week (at least for weather that will get birds moving, finally).
Tuesday, Oct 4 Clearing; breezy, warmer Low: 52 °F High: 71 °F
Wednesday, Oct 5 Warmer with clouds and sun Low: 52 °F High: 78 °F
Thursday, Oct 6 Times of clouds and sun Low: 54 °F High: 77 °F
Friday, Oct 7 Rain and drizzle possible Low: 40 °F High: 68 °F
Saturday, Oct 8Intervals of clouds and sun Low: 34 °F High: 59 °F
Sunday, Oct 9 Cooler with periods of sun Low: 34 °F High: 51 °F
Monday, Oct 10 Chance of a shower Low: 28 °F High: 47 °F
Tuesday, Oct 11 Times of clouds and sun Low: 28 °F High: 48 °F
Wednesday, Oct 12 Mostly sunny Low: 24 °F High: 44 °F
Thursday, Oct 13 A little afternoon rain Low: 25 °F High: 40 °F
Friday, Oct 14 Mostly cloudy Low: 27 °F High: 40 °F
Saturday, Oct 15 Cold with rain Low: 28 °F High: 38 °F
Sunday, Oct 16 Cold with snow, ice and rain Low: 26 °F High: 36 °F
Monday, Oct 17 Very windy; cold with snow Low: 23 °F High: 34 °F
Tuesday, Oct 18 Mostly sunny and cold Low: 22 °F High: 34 °F
In the avbove pattern, birds will be getting more urgent in their feeding from Oct 10 - October 15.......small potholes will start to freeze, birds will stage on larger bodies of water, feed on peas that have been softened-up by the previous rains......then Oct 16 - 17 is going to be a 'mover', North wind at their backs.........then by Oct 18, the birds less tolerant of cold conditions will depart for points South.....to be replaced by an influx of fresh, stupid, hungry, and full-plumed 'fatheads'. Amazing! Perfect timing, again!
It's a progression of several significant weather events in quick succession that prompts birds to migrate. October 18 looks like the first 'push. It takes about 5 of these (with low's in teens and highs below freezing) to get birds out of canada and the Dakotas........then you have to have significant accumulations of snow on the corn belt to push'em into Missouri and points South.
I'd welcome teal and gadwalls back home, but I'm hoping to capitalize on fatheads before Halloween, lest they never make-it to Mississippi in 'huntable' numbers during our regular season.
'The Sofa Scientist'
Happy Hunting
