Re: MS River
Posted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 8:07 am
This is alot better dialogue than "aw' they just done shifted".
I second that with ya.....Blackduck wrote:I disagree. Dec/ Jan last year averaged roughly 54/34. This year has been roughly the same. Maybe a degree or warmer. Currently there is snow all down through Missouri. 4-6 inches at least. Last year was on of the worst and this year has been one of above average (If you had water). Lots of things have changed in the past twenty years.Anatidae wrote:The Flyway has shifted - North
It hasn't gotten cold-enough for long-enough to push birds out of areas that still have ample food, water and shelter. Not enough snow cover either. It takes 3 days of lows in the mid-teens and highs below 35 to create dconditions that will make a duck THINK about uprooting and going into the war-zone (unknown).
Here is my guess
1)A larger percentage of ducks get shot in the MS flyway. If both the MS and the Central Flyway have 1 million ducks and we shoot 10% of ours and the central boy shoot 7% of their it doesn't take long for the numbers to increase in the central flyway stictly because the number of birds returning after winter. Look at the number of ducks shot by Mo, MS, AR, La and Iowa.
2)Notill drills, land level fields, and better farming all together. I don't know much about farming. Just enough to sound real ignorant to a real farmer so I apologize if I'm off base. No-till farming and seed drills allow less topsoil disruption. Seeds and winter grasses and ag byproducts can stay all winter long only to be cut and sprayed in the spring. More food in areas that drill. Mostly up north. I havent seen a new pivot in dozens of years so I'd suppose more fields are being land leveled and irriagated that way. More consistent crops. Fields that drain better. More seed for the farmer less food.
3)Weather- Ducks don't know what the temp here is when they are in des Moines. I don't believe that ducks move back north once the come down. Satellite ducks have shown this as well. Our weather the past two years has been good enough. Maybe not great but plenty good enough.
4)River- The river was at flood stage or near flood stage almost all of last year. A river out of its banks can suck up alot of ducks. Most folks I know of last year had a poor year just because #were down. This year the river is super low. River hunters are suffering and so are those who don't have water. If you have water this year then you probably are doing fair to better than average. The dry fall allowed most farmers to prep their fields if they wanted to. Less grain in fields, less weeds and invertebrate as well.
My 2 cents.
DING DING DING!!! That is THE main component, I believe. There are guys hunting who have no idea that a season doesn't HAVE to be 60 days, it's all they know. The birds are getting hammered year in and year out. Every Tom, Dick, and Harry duck hunts now. In my area no less than 3 years ago we were the ONLY ones hunting, with the exception of a few older fellows. My buddy was checking facebook the other morning and it was 4 different groups of people with status updates about hunting the swamp. One was a chick that, combined with her husband, would set a weight scale on fire. This is in East MS at that; I ain't even going there with the delta, as we all know.Not taking pressure into account means not taking this conversation seriously. 60 day seasons are a recent event... and now after 12 years of the longest seasons since they have been seasons, welp, some sheet changed. Go figure. travis