Breaking Down the SEC WEST
Posted: Thu Jun 16, 2005 4:19 pm
My Predictions for 2005:
1. 4 way tie: Auburn, Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss
5. Arkansas
6. MSU
I believe this season will be one of great parity in the West, with the winner having 2-3 league losses and having to share the title and win a tiebreaker to get to Atlanta.
Auburn: Other than LSU, probably the most talented overall team. Will have a solid defense. However, after losing 3 No. 1 draft choices on the offense ----- Cadillac, R. Brown, and J. Campbell, the Tigers will stuggle to score, especially on the road in the SEC. This lack of offense will keep the rest of the pack in the hunt.
Alabama: The Tide will probably have the best D in the West, with LSU a close second. However, the offense will be suspect and thin in depth. A healthy Croyle at QB is the key for Alabama finishing at or near the top. Otherwise, if Croyle goes down, its a distant 3rd or 4th place finish in the West for the Tide and a trip to the Weedeater or Music City Bowl, IF the Tide beats USM.
LSU: No team in the West will have as much overall talent (Auburn will be close). Defense will be solid. However, iffy QB play will continue to keep the Tigers from separating themselves from the pack, much like last season. New coach (a step down IMO) will probably play a role in this under-achieving season as well.
Ole Miss: The surprise team of the SEC this season. Last season, the Rebels played very close to the big boys (UT, LSU, Auburn), even with inconsistent QB play and a porous D that had trouble stopping teams on 3rd and long. Coach O, and some very talented defensive players, will produce one of the most improved defenses in the SEC this season. The key to the season will be improved QB play from 3 now experienced QBs and staying healthy on a good, but thin O line. If one of these QBs can take the reins and provide solid play and leadership, the Rebels could finish at or near the top of the SEC West. Otherwise, improved defense or not, the Rebs could slip to middle of the pack and contend only for a lowly bowl. The Rebels schedule this season is favorable to a good season --- as good as 8-3 or as bad as 6-5.
Arkansas: Without Jones and a dominating defense, and no experience at QB, it will be a long year for the Hogs, especially with their schedule ----@ defending national champs USC, @Alabama, @Georgia, @LSU, @Ole Miss, Auburn at home. That is 6 likely losses right there. And MSU in Little Rock will not be a gimme. Like I said, it will be a long year for the Hogs. H. Nutt will be on the hot seat during and after this 2nd straight losing season.
MSU: Still a year or two away from competing. Croom has cleaned house with Jackie's hold over players, and will have to rely upon too many freshman to provide needed depth on the O line and D line. Too many holes to fill to be in the mix. A winning season would be huge. Good QB. Very good RB in Norwood. But, O line is horrible and D line not much better. Decent skill position players at other positions, but not really SEC championship quality. Like I said, still at least a year or two away. But, moving in the right direction.
1. 4 way tie: Auburn, Alabama, LSU, Ole Miss
5. Arkansas
6. MSU
I believe this season will be one of great parity in the West, with the winner having 2-3 league losses and having to share the title and win a tiebreaker to get to Atlanta.
Auburn: Other than LSU, probably the most talented overall team. Will have a solid defense. However, after losing 3 No. 1 draft choices on the offense ----- Cadillac, R. Brown, and J. Campbell, the Tigers will stuggle to score, especially on the road in the SEC. This lack of offense will keep the rest of the pack in the hunt.
Alabama: The Tide will probably have the best D in the West, with LSU a close second. However, the offense will be suspect and thin in depth. A healthy Croyle at QB is the key for Alabama finishing at or near the top. Otherwise, if Croyle goes down, its a distant 3rd or 4th place finish in the West for the Tide and a trip to the Weedeater or Music City Bowl, IF the Tide beats USM.
LSU: No team in the West will have as much overall talent (Auburn will be close). Defense will be solid. However, iffy QB play will continue to keep the Tigers from separating themselves from the pack, much like last season. New coach (a step down IMO) will probably play a role in this under-achieving season as well.
Ole Miss: The surprise team of the SEC this season. Last season, the Rebels played very close to the big boys (UT, LSU, Auburn), even with inconsistent QB play and a porous D that had trouble stopping teams on 3rd and long. Coach O, and some very talented defensive players, will produce one of the most improved defenses in the SEC this season. The key to the season will be improved QB play from 3 now experienced QBs and staying healthy on a good, but thin O line. If one of these QBs can take the reins and provide solid play and leadership, the Rebels could finish at or near the top of the SEC West. Otherwise, improved defense or not, the Rebs could slip to middle of the pack and contend only for a lowly bowl. The Rebels schedule this season is favorable to a good season --- as good as 8-3 or as bad as 6-5.
Arkansas: Without Jones and a dominating defense, and no experience at QB, it will be a long year for the Hogs, especially with their schedule ----@ defending national champs USC, @Alabama, @Georgia, @LSU, @Ole Miss, Auburn at home. That is 6 likely losses right there. And MSU in Little Rock will not be a gimme. Like I said, it will be a long year for the Hogs. H. Nutt will be on the hot seat during and after this 2nd straight losing season.
MSU: Still a year or two away from competing. Croom has cleaned house with Jackie's hold over players, and will have to rely upon too many freshman to provide needed depth on the O line and D line. Too many holes to fill to be in the mix. A winning season would be huge. Good QB. Very good RB in Norwood. But, O line is horrible and D line not much better. Decent skill position players at other positions, but not really SEC championship quality. Like I said, still at least a year or two away. But, moving in the right direction.